Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.134684 0.158232 0.184534 0.216070 0.252841 0.294347 0.344745
2025-11-23 0.096887 0.126419 0.162856 0.211044 0.273039 0.350059 0.452979
2025-11-30 0.078708 0.111061 0.154043 0.215174 0.299740 0.412464 0.574033
2025-12-07 0.065297 0.098294 0.144890 0.215242 0.318526 0.464345 0.685625
2025-12-14 0.054144 0.086256 0.134086 0.210163 0.327777 0.502307 0.780559
2025-12-21 0.046601 0.078107 0.127326 0.209342 0.342111 0.548040 0.891040
2025-12-28 0.042279 0.074203 0.126277 0.216775 0.369484 0.615954 1.042935
2026-01-04 0.039081 0.071576 0.126738 0.226394 0.401099 0.693562 1.218807
2026-01-11 0.035669 0.068011 0.125015 0.231829 0.425923 0.762165 1.386756
2026-01-18 0.031972 0.063351 0.120680 0.231906 0.441029 0.815279 1.533063
2026-01-25 0.027782 0.057139 0.112671 0.224094 0.440600 0.840388 1.631111
2026-02-01 0.024132 0.051444 0.104861 0.215558 0.437545 0.859916 1.720217
2026-02-08 0.021722 0.048087 0.101493 0.215976 0.453264 0.919104 1.897507
2026-02-15 0.018962 0.043607 0.095323 0.210024 0.455778 0.953619 2.031848
2026-02-22 0.017464 0.041624 0.094029 0.214027 0.479223 1.032412 2.265311
2026-03-01 0.015827 0.039063 0.091120 0.214083 0.494151 1.095217 2.472547
2026-03-08 0.014024 0.035824 0.086242 0.209029 0.497094 1.132789 2.629607
2026-03-15 0.012731 0.033610 0.083390 0.208212 0.509433 1.192029 2.841372
2026-03-22 0.012080 0.032899 0.083975 0.215606 0.541778 1.299513 3.175247
2026-03-29 0.011599 0.032549 0.085380 0.225174 0.580492 1.425848 3.567566
2026-04-05 0.010930 0.031593 0.085143 0.230581 0.609641 1.532925 3.926106
2026-04-12 0.010063 0.029963 0.082953 0.230657 0.625351 1.609418 4.218603
2026-04-19 0.008942 0.027434 0.078049 0.222886 0.619790 1.632924 4.381179